Prestige Property Watch of the Golden Isles

!!!Please Share!!! THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 407 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INC...LUDES 12 COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA BAKER CLAY DUVAL FLAGLER NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS IN NORTHERN FLORIDA ALACHUA BRADFORD COLUMBIA MARION UNION IN GEORGIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 13 COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA APPLING ATKINSON BACON BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON CLINCH COFFEE GLYNN JEFF DAVIS PIERCE WARE WAYNE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALMA, AMELIA CITY, ANASTASIA, ANTHONY, ARLINGTON, ATKINSON, AXSON, BAKERSVILLE, BAXLEY, BELLAIR, BLACKSHEAR, BOSTWICK, BURBANK, CARRAWAY, COLUMBIA, COUNTRY CLUB ESTATE, DOCK JUNCTION, DOCTORS INLET, DOCTORTOWN, DOUGLAS, DOVER BLUFF, DUNGENESS, DURBIN, FERNANDINA BEACH, FOLKSTON, FRUIT COVE, GAINESVILLE, GAINESVILLE AIRPORT, GARDI, GLYNN HAVEN, HAZLEHURST, HICKOX, HILLIARD, HOBOKEN, HOMELAND, HOMERVILLE, HORTENSE, JACKSONVILLE, JEKYLL ISLAND, JESUP, KINGS FERRY, KINGSLAND, LAKE BUTLER, LAKE CITY, LAKESIDE, LULU, MACCLENNY, MIDDLEBURG, NAHUNTA, NEEDHAM, NEW LACY, NEW RIVER, NEWNANS LAKE, NORMANDY, OCALA, OCALA AIRPORT, OCEANWAY, OLENO STATE PARK, OLUSTEE, ORANGE PARK, ORTEGA, PALATKA, PALM COAST, PALM VALLEY, PEARSON, PINE GROVE, PLANT HATCH, PONTE VEDRA BEACH, RACE POND, RATLIFF, RAYBON, RIVERSIDE, SAN MARCO, SEA ISLAND, ST. GEORGE, ST. SIMONS, STARKE, STEPHEN FOSTER STATE PARK, SWITZERLAND, THALMANN, WATERTOWN, WAYCROSS, WAYNESVILLE, WEIRSDALE, WILLACOOCHEE, WINOKUR, AND YULEE. $$

Glynn County Schools will end their day an hour early tomorrow in anticipation of what should be Tropical Storm Michael as it passes through the area. School wi...ll remain closed Thursday and reopen Friday morning. All after school care and activities are canceled for Wednesday and Thursday.

Afternoon satellite... Michael looking mean. Latest 12z GFS/UK/EURO here. All showing landfall very very close on Wednesday. East side the big side with heavies...t action. Looking at possible Major Hurricane. Surge, inland flooding, wind damages all very very likely. Power outages will reach well inland. AL/GA/SC/NC will all feel Michael. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP / Join our Drunk Donkey Nation: https://www.bonfire.com/drunkdonkey See more

New 11am/10am NHC update. Michael expected to be a MAJOR Hurricane hitting the Gulf coast Wednesday. This is serious folks. Pay attention if you are in a Warnin...g/Watch area or in the NHC cone! www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP / Join our Drunk Donkey Nation: https://www.bonfire.com/drunkdonkey See more

Hurricane watches and Tropical Storm watches are up. Officially winds now expected to hit 110mph... and maybe reach a Major Hurricane before landfall NHC states.... Michael has dropped to 983mb... rapidly intensifying overnight. Florida State of Emergency in 26 counties so far. I'll be online all day discussing. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP / Join our Drunk Donkey Nation: https://www.bonfire.com/drunkdonkey See more

Overnight models and fresh spaghetti models here on Michael. NHC noting he could be a major Hurricane at landfall. VERY IMPORTANT. His fast forward speed will c...ause major effects well inland... possibly into the Carolinas before he exits into the Atlantic. Fast moving means slower weakening. We will see widespread power outages inland... massive surge coastal... and high rains merging with our approaching front. And of course devastating winds associated with a Cat 3 if that verifies. This is the real deal folks. If you are in the 3-day NHC cone take it very seriously. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP / Join our Drunk Donkey Nation: https://www.bonfire.com/drunkdonkey See more

Good morning all; the 4 AM update shows Michael tracking a little further East. Please pay close attention to this weather system. Now is the time to make preparations should we receive impacts here in Glynn County.

Tropical Storm #Michael will bring a threat of strong winds to southeast Georgia, northeast & north central Florida by midweek. Take the time to gather supplies... and update your family plan now, while the weather is relatively quiet well in advance of the arrival of strong winds & potential power outages later this week. The tropical storm force wind arrival graphics produced by the National Hurricane provide an excellent resource to guide your planning timeline, as all preparations should be completed in advance of the arrival of tropical storm force winds, which are often accompanied by heavy downpours and the potential for isolated tornadoes within the tropical cyclone's outer rain bands. See more

...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWARD... ...HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD OVER WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT... A Tropical Storm Warning continues for the Cuban provi...nces of Pinar del Rio and the Isle of Youth, and for the coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by this evening or tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Interests along the northeastern and central U.S. Gulf coast should monitor the progress of the depression. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. Tropical Depression Fourteen is centered at 10 a.m. CDT about 225 miles (365 km) southwest of the western tip of Cuba. It's moving moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). On the forecast track, the center will move near the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula Monday morning, and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast to occur during the next several days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. It will be named "Michael" at that time. The system could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday. NHC will issue at intermediate advisory at 1 p.m. CDT and the next complete advisory at 4 p.m. CDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Tropical Depression #14 has developed just east of Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, and gradual strengthening is forecast th...rough midweek as this developing tropical cyclone generally moves northward. Tropical Depression #14 will likely enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by late Monday, and the combination of this cyclone and strong high pressure along the U.S. eastern seaboard will result in strengthening onshore winds along the Atlantic coast. These onshore winds will team up with astronomically high tides due to the new moon to possibly create coastal flooding during times of high tide along the northeast Florida and southeast Georgia coasts from Monday night or early Tuesday through at least Wednesday night. Waves of locally heavy rainfall will likely begin along the Atlantic coast on Monday night or early Tuesday, followed by the outer rain bands of Tropical Depression #14 impacting our region towards midweek. Isolated tornadoes may be possible across our region on Wednesday and Thursday as Tropical Depression #14 makes landfall along the Florida panhandle coast, with the official forecast strengthening this cyclone to hurricane intensity before landfall. Stay tuned to the latest forecast information from the National Hurricane Center, as any eastward shift in the forecast track may increase the threat for stronger winds, flooding rainfall and potential severe weather towards midweek. See more

PTC #14... officially. Website and APP all updated with information. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP NHC notes: 1. This system is expected t...o produce heavy rainfall and flash flooding over portions of Central America, western Cuba, and the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico during the next couple of days. The system is also forecast to become a tropical storm by Sunday night and tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of western Cuba where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect. 2. The system could bring storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts to portions of the northern Gulf Coast by mid-week, although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of these impacts. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of this system.

Invest 97, 98, and 99 are on the NHC map tonight... plus a spot in the middle Atlantic that might be Invest 90 soon. Closest to the US is 98. Came from the fron...t that dissolved Florence. Models have it loop back close to the US next week. Timing with an approaching front will be what we are watching as to when it turns back to the NE. NHC notes conditions somewhat favorable for development next week even though models not showing much at all. Could enhance rains coming along with that front to areas hit by Florence. 99 is by Africa. We have watched many 99's over the years. Could be a lowrider reaching the Lesser Antilles Wed/Thu next week. Looks like it could be organizing. Lots of time to watch. Models not showing much organization... but overall conditions seem possible for it to prove otherwise. And then 97. It is nearest the Lesser Antilles. Was 10% at 1pm... now 60%. Things change fast. Could be a TD/TS soon (11pm will be TD #11). Conditions ahead expected to be unfavorable for more development... but as always we will watch. MJO pulse coming may allow some of these to gain a name. Will have a lot of new data coming in from overnight. Will digest in the AM. Shooting for a live at 8am. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP on Android and Apple See more

And just like that we have a new spot to watch. NHC at 20%. Models haven't shown anything really but it has that look like something is trying. We will sea. www.spaghettimodels.com

From an inside source: "Just thought I should pass this along to your viewers about leaving during a hurricane when you were told to. Right now just in the city... of New Bern which is Craven County, We have 150 people awaiting water rescue. That’s just one area. We have two FEMA teams here, more on the way, along with 3 of our local water rescue teams for craven county. We are told that many wait to be rescued in Beaufort County, Carteret County, pender county and pamlico county, Not to mention what will happen in the Wilmington , surf city , topsail Beach area as eye is ready to come ashore around 7-8 am. Storm surge that we have , for many of the instruments that were set up for not reporting (not a good sign). 13 feet in the pamlico river, 6 feet tar river, 15 feet neuse river (where the 150 await rescue). We are being told that the storm is creating damage and surge of a cat 3 hurricane and some areas more. The surge in many areas will continue As long as that wind is coming out of the East (12+ hours)". www.spaghettimodels.com See more

Good Morning beautiful Glynn County! While things are looking sunny today, we are still following the devastating effect currently hitting the coasts of the Ca...rolina's. Our thoughts and prayers are with them. We await to see how we can help our neighbors to the north but something that everyone can do is reach out and help each other dealing with a hard moment in life. Take a moment to read over our CISM( critical incident stress management team) Flyer. it can help identify issues that we all experience that sometimes we choose to ignore. Disasters are not a normal occurrence in our day to day, and when it happens we need to figure how to process those events. Our hopes are that you stay prepared before, during, and after an emergency and we want to help provide tools to help. See more

Hot and humid conditions are expected today across the area. It will feel like the low 100s out there so stay hydrated and take rest breaks! weather.gov/jax

HURRICANE UPDATE: Glynn County residents urged to keep watchful eye on Hurricane Florence.

Latest 11am track and key messages from the NHC. Could strengthen some today as it tries to grow wider. Some weakening possible as it nears the coast but they s...tress effects still the same. Florence hasn't had a problem with colder water so am wondering if she actually will or not. Tricky forecast. It is a race when Florence hits the high coming down to block her NW movement. If she gets there first then landfall... drift south along coast... then more inland. If the high gets there first she hangs just off the coast... drifts south... then a landfall for someone maybe in SC before eventually turning west. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP on Android and Apple See more

Good morning everyone, here is the 5 AM update from NHC regarding Hurricane Florence. With this new track it appears we may see increased impacts in our area. ...As the storm gets closer we will have a better idea of just what to expect. We should prepare for wind, rain, heavy surf, rip currents, and some possible coastal flooding especially during high tides. Please continue to closely monitor official sources for the most up to date information. Stay safe and stay prepared. See more

Here are the Key Messages regarding Hurricane Florence, issued by NHC at 11 a.mAST - www.hurricanes.gov

Remember to include your pets in your storm planning! We can provide you with information on how to prepare to evacuate with just about any pet. If your pets ar...en't microchipped, we can do it at the shelter or any of our mobile adoptions for $20 or visit your veterinarian. In the event that we do have to evacuate, you can shelter your pet at the Waycross Fairgrounds, where we set up a temporary shelter for the dogs & cats in our care. You will have to provide your pets with daily care but we provide 24-hour security in sight. And you can stay at the County's human shelter. If you have any questions, please call us at 554-7500. See more

5pm update on Florence from the NHC. Official chatter up on an east coast impact next week. www.spaghettimodels.com

Overnight 00z models from the big 4... all showing potential landfall Thu/Fri next week time frame. All are pretty close in proximity. This is less than a week.... Be ready and make sure you have a hurricane plan just in case. Get your basic supplies to be safe before any madness starts... especially gas! Going live at 9:05am to chat. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP See more

Good afternoon Glynn County, We have been working closely with our partners at the Georgia Emergency Management Agency and the National Weather Service Office i...n Jacksonville to monitor and track the disturbances in the Atlantic. Florence has weakened to tropical storm status in the central Atlantic. Over the next few days as it moves into much more favorable environmental conditions, it is expected to re-strengthen into a hurricane, and possibly a major hurricane. There are several factors that will determine the eventual track of Florence, keeping the forecast uncertainty quite high. It is expected to continue moving westward over the next 48 hours before likely making a turn towards the north. Model guidance is still very inconsistent at this point, with some showing landfall as far south as the Carolinas and others showing no landfall at all. We encourage you to primarily monitor the forecasts from the National Hurricane Center and the National Weather Service, as opposed to relying on run-to-run model guidance, which has tended to make dramatic changes back and forth. Be especially vigilant on social media, as many popular posts showcase one run of one model and lack the nuance necessary for a reliable forecast. One thing that is becoming increasingly likely is that a large and potentially dangerous swell will impact the immediate coast of Georgia late this weekend into next week. This could result in life-threatening surf and rip currents. The potential impact on beaches and coastal properties would be exacerbated due to the erosion and damage sustained during Hurricanes Matthew and Irma. Our Glynn County Public Works, Recreation Department, and Fire Department Water Rescue Team, are aware of this and are closely monitoring the situation and are taking steps to insure public safety, and protection of assets. If heavy surf and rip currents do impact our area we encourage that everyone stay out of the water for their own safety While speculation should be avoided, there remains a low chance that the Georgia coast will be directly impacted by Florence next week. In addition to the potentially dangerous swell, the key message from the National Hurricane Center at this time is as follows: The risk of other direct impacts associated with Florence along the U.S. East Coast next week has increased. However, there is still very large uncertainty in model forecasts of Florence's track beyond day 5, making it too soon to determine the exact location, magnitude, and timing of these impacts. Please pay very careful attention to forecast updates from the National Hurricane Center and our local National Weather Service office over the weekend. Also, please ensure that any necessary preparatory actions are completed in the coming days. Should we receive additional information we will pass it along to you all. Have a safe and prepared weekend.

Latest 12z UK ensembles here. Keeping up with the others... westward with possible landfall next week. Some keeping south into the sunshine state (as did the EU...RO). Can't count this out at all. The farther west Florence goes while weak and how strong the approaching high pressure will be could make it a reality (low chance as of now). Everyone on the east coast should be watching. Today's 5pm tropical update about as active as you will ever see the Atlantic with four spots to watch. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP See more

Latest 12z CMC. Westward trend continues. Timing a little slower. Next Fri/Sat. Will post fresh EURO/UK 12z when out. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP

...FLORENCE'S WEAKENING APPEARS TO HAVE STOPPED FOR THE MOMENT...RESTRENGTHENING EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND... Tropical Storm Florence is centered as of 11 a.m. ...AST/EDT over the Atlantic Ocean about 935 miles (1505 km) east-southeast of Bermuda. It's moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday. A west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is forecast over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in intensity is expected during the next day or so, but restrengthening is forecast over the weekend. Florence could become a hurricane again by Saturday night or Sunday. Swells generated by Florence will begin to affect Bermuda later today and will reach portions of the U.S. East Coast over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office - www.weather.gov The risk of other direct impacts associated with Florence along the U.S. East Coast next week has increased. However, there is still very large uncertainty in model forecasts of Florence's track beyond day 5, making it too soon to determine the exact location, magnitude, and timing of these impacts. Interests near and along the U.S. East Coast should monitor the progress of Florence through the weekend and ensure they have their hurricane plans in place - https://www.weather.gov/safety/hurricane-plan The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. AST/EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

...FLORENCE WEAKENS FURTHER... Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts - a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpso...n Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional weakening during the next day or two is forecast. However, Florence is expected to remain a hurricane and likely reintensify over the weekend. The hurricane is centered as of 11 a.m. AST/EDT over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean about 1115 miles (1795 km) east-southeast of Bermuda. A turn toward the west-northwest and west with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Saturday. Florence may begin to move faster toward the west-northwest over the western Atlantic early next week. There is still considerable model ensemble spread for Florence's track beyond day 5. Given the large uncertainty at these time ranges, it is far too soon to speculate what, if any, impacts Florence may have on the U.S. East Coast next week. Regardless of Florence's eventual track, large swells emanating from the hurricane will reach Bermuda beginning on Friday and portions of the U.S. East Coast this weekend, resulting in life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. AST/EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Power Outages and Surge maps from weather.com. If Gordon intensifies these will be expanded likely. New NHC update at 5pm. Very important update with new track and any new watches/warnings. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mikes Weather Page APP

Hurricane Warnings are now up for the upper Gulf coast for Gordon. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mike's Weather Page APP

...TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORMS OVER THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS WITH HEAVY RA...INS LIKELY... A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for portions of South Florida from Golden Beach to Bonita Beach, and for the Florida Keys from Craig Key to Ocean Reef, including Florida Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning continues from the Alabama-Florida state line westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas. A Storm Surge Watch continues from the Mississippi-Alabama state line westward to the Mouth of the Mississippi River. NHC has upgraded Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven to Tropical Storm Gordon. It's centered as of 8:30 a.m. EDT about 20 miles (30 km) west of Key Largo and about 85 miles (135 km) southeast of Marco Island. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will pass over the southern tip of the Florida peninsula this morning, move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and evening, and reach the warning area along the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or Tuesday night. Surface observations and radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office - www.weather.gov The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 a.m. EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

2pm NHC tropics update. Invest 91 entering the Gulf at 90% chance now... Florence... and our next wave to watch is highlighted. Will be online LIVE tonight to discuss. www.spaghettimodels.com

https://www.facebook.com/230383067343410/posts/695136894201356/

...OLIVIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN... Tropical Storm Olivia is centered at 9 a.m. MDT (11 a.m. EDT) about 440 miles (705 km) south...-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. It's moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), but a turn to the west-northwest is expected into Monday, followed by a turn toward the west late Monday or early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast, and Olivia could become a hurricane by Tuesday. The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 3 p.m. MDT (5 p.m. EDT) - www.hurricanes.gov

...FLORENCE MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... Tropical Storm Florence is centered as of 11 a.m. AST/EDT over the far eas...tern North Atlantic Ocean about 605 miles (970 km) west-northwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. It's moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). Maximum sustained winds have decreased slightly to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength during the next few days is forecast. The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. AST/EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Florence is looking interesting, hopefully she turns and heads North, but should be watching this storm over the next few days. https://www.facebook.com/mikesweatherpa//1076393575876795/

UPDATE: The advisory has been lifted at this time. This means that the water has been tested again and does not pose a significant danger. Please always be care...ful in the water. The beach is not closed, but swimming in the water is not advised at this time. The picture below shows a warning sign at the beach entrance. PSA: Beach Advisory Issued for South Beach at the Lighthouse on St. Simons Island GLYNN COUNTY, GA The Glynn County Health Department has issued an advisory for South Beach at the Lighthouse (9th Street to the pier) on St. Simons Island. This advisory is only for the area(s) specified above and does not impact any other beaches on the island. There is no way of knowing if going into water that is under advisory will result in illness; however, this beach water advisory is to alert the public of a possible risk of illness associated with water contact. An area under advisory does not mean the beach is closed. Water samples are tested only for enterococcus (pronounced: enterococcus) bacteria which is found in warm blooded animals including humans but also birds, raccoons, deer, dolphins and other wildlife. It is difficult to determine exactly where the bacteria come from but some sources could include animal waste, storm water runoff, or boating waste. When a beach is under advisory, it means that the level of bacteria found in the water is above the Environmental Protection Agency’s recommended standards. The Glynn County Health Department recommends you do not swim or wade in the water in the area(s) under advisory. Fish and other seafood caught from this area should be thoroughly washed with fresh water and thoroughly cooked before eating as should fish or seafood caught from any waters. The area will be retested and the advisory will be lifted when tests show the bacteria levels meet the Environmental Protection Agency’s recommended standards. For more information about beach water testing, go to www.gachd.org and click on the Environmental Health tab at the top of the page.

Morning tropics update. #1 is a weak wave that is working its way towards FL/Gulf early in the week. EURO the only one showing some organization with it consist...ently. Timing for Florida could be Mon/Tue as it nears... then the Gulf midweek. #2 is just a cluster of increasing storms. Surface charts show low pressure so will watch. #3 is the orange area highlighted by the NHC. It is exiting off Africa and might organize into a pretty big storm. Models show it doing the classic recurve in the middle Atlantic. It is coming off high enough to support this and not be a lowrider. #4 are a couple more waves projected to exit Africa after. They have a shot of making it deeper into the Atlantic as they are exiting a bit lower. Way too far away to worry about that is for sure. I will go LIVE at TEN to chat for on the tropics. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mikes Weather Page APP See more

https://www.usatoday.com//hurricane-season-com/1132669002/

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#Perseid #meteor shower peaks tonight!! Forecast looks good across many areas of GA for viewing. Best viewing should be in N. GA with less cloud cover. Some high clouds may limit viewing in Central GA. Optimal viewing between 11pm - 4am...so look to the Northeastern Sky

NHC spot to watch... www.spaghettimodels.com

PSA: Mosquito-borne Virus Activity Detected in Glynn County; Officials Advise Taking Protective Measures GLYNN COUNTY, GA Glynn County Public Works has confir...med that samples of mosquitoes collected in the county have tested positive for West Nile virus (WNV). This indicates that WNV is actively circulating in local mosquito populations this year. No human cases of WNV have been confirmed in any Coastal Health District counties, including Glynn. Glynn County is being actively treated for mosquitoes. Spraying will be conducted on the evenings of July 20, 21, and 22, weather permitting. WNV is transmitted by the bite of infected mosquitoes and can cause mild to serious illness. Mosquitoes that carry the West Nile Virus are more likely to bite during the evening, night, and early morning. The Glynn County Health Department and Glynn County Public Works officials urge residents to take appropriate precautions now and throughout the summer to minimize mosquitoes around their property. One of the most effective ways of preventing mosquito breeding and thus the spread of mosquito-borne viruses is controlling the mosquito population by getting rid of standing water around the home and in the yard. Residents are urged to clean up around their homes, yards, and communities and get rid of unnecessary items that can hold water and turn into mosquito breeding grounds. One way to do this is Tip ‘n Toss. After every rainfall, tip out water in flowerpots, planters, children’s toys, wading pools, buckets, and anything else that may be holding water. If it holds water and you don’t need it (old tires, bottles, cans), toss it out. It’s also a good idea to change water frequently in outdoor pet dishes, change bird bath water at least twice a week,and avoid using saucers under outdoor potted plants. For containers without lids or that are too big to Tip ‘n Toss (garden pools, etc.), use larvicides such as Mosquito Dunks or Mosquito Torpedoes and follow the label instructions. These larvicides will not hurt birds or animals. In addition, clean out gutters, remove piles of leaves, and keep vegetation cut low to prevent landing sites for adult mosquitoes. Georgia Department of Public Health | We Protect Lives. Continued on next page Homeowners associations and neighborhoods, along with city and county governments, are encouraged to sponsor community cleanup days. Residents are always encouraged to follow the 5Ds of mosquito bite prevention: Dusk/Dawn Avoid dusk and dawn activities during the summer when mosquitoes are most active. Dress Wear loose-fitting, long sleeved shirts and pants to reduce the amount of exposed skin. DEET Cover exposed skin with an insect repellent containing the DEET, which is the most effective repellent against mosquito bites. Drain - Empty any containers holding standing water - buckets, barrels, flower pots, tarps - because they are breeding grounds for virus-carrying mosquitoes. Doors Make sure doors and windows are in good repair and fit tightly, and fix torn or damaged screens to keep mosquitoes out of the house. ###

What causes us to have to send out a warning to boil your water? Learn here how to find out when a service outage requires a boil water advisory and how to respond.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 611 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2018... The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Camden County in southeastern Georgia... Southern Glynn County in southeastern Georgia... * Until 700 PM EDT. * At 611 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Woodbine, moving northeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Brunswick, Woodbine, Dock Junction, Country Club Estates and Dover Bluff. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.

Get your umbrellas ready! Here's a look at the precipitation forecast for the upcoming week. We see the most notable precipitation mainly in the eastern half o...f the US, with the highest concentrations in the Southeast along the Gulf Coast and southern Atlantic Coast. Much of this rain will be the result of a passing front during the first part of the week. In the Four Corners region, occasional thunderstorms will remain a possibility due to monsoonal moisture. For updated precipitation forecasts, go to http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=qpf

Water safety message from Glynn County Water Rescue In addition: SANDBARS can pose a significant hazard as the tide comes in. As the water rises, swift currents... can occur in areas between the sandbars and the shoreline. It is a good idea not to stay on a sandbar as the tide is coming back in. Go back the way you came if you can, and check the tide schedule. You should leave sandbars before the tide begins to come in. See more

https://www.travelandleisure.com/worlds-best/islands-in-us

...DISORGANIZED DEPRESSION SLOWING DOWN OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS... Tropical Depression Three is centered as of 5 a.m. EDT about 145 miles (235 km) south-...southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The depression is expected to meander off the coastlines of North and South Carolina for the next several days. By Tuesday, a faster northeastward motion is expected to begin. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the coast of North Carolina should monitor the progress of this system. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening during the next few days is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by Sunday. When that occurs, it will be given the name Chris. An Air Force reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the cyclone later today. The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 a.m. EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

The AM spaghetti models on Hurricane Beryl in the Atlantic and Invest 96 off the east coast. Beryl expected to hit a wall of shear near the Lesser Antilles firs...t part of the week and weaken. 96 expected to meander close to the coast into early next week. Has a shot of getting organized some bringing up coastal action. Will watch both. Website and APP updated. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mikes Weather Page APP See more

On the heels of Beryl, another Atlantic tropical system is developing.

This isn't good...Strong Tropical Storm possibly impacting Puerto Rico late this weekend! Tune in for the latest on the Tropics only on The Weather Channel! Join us LIVE from 1-5pm!

This development is now likely

...BRAZEN BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER...NOW FORECAST TO STILL BE A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES... Hurricane Beryl is centered as of 11 a.m. AST/E...DT about 1045 miles (1685 km) east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. On the forecast track, the center will approach the Lesser Antilles during the weekend and cross the island chain late Sunday or Monday. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Beryl, as hurricane watches could be needed for some of the islands by tonight. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening during the next couple of days is forecast, and Beryl is expected to still be a hurricane when it reaches the Lesser Antilles late Sunday or Monday. Weakening is expected once Beryl reaches the eastern Caribbean Sea on Monday, but the system may not degenerate into an open trough until it reaches the vicinity of Hispaniola and the central Caribbean Sea. The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. AST/EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

...TINY BERYL BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2018 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON... Beryl is centered as of 5 a.m. AST/EDT about 1140 miles (1830 km) east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. On the forecast track, the center will remain east of the Lesser Antilles through early Sunday. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Beryl. Satellite data indicate the maximum sustained winds have increased to nea...r 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast today. Beryl is a very compact hurricane, with hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 35 miles (55 km). Beryl is forecast to quickly weaken by late Saturday and become a tropical storm or degenerate into a strong open trough near the Lesser Antilles late Sunday or Monday. It is likely to bring strong gusty winds and locally heavy rains to portions of the Lesser Antilles on Sunday and Monday. The next advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 a.m. AST/EDT - www.hurricanes.gov

Here's what you need to know.

Tropical Depression #2 has formed in the far Atlantic. Expected to hit hostile conditions ahead but will watch for sure (shear/dry air). Looks like Beryl coming. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mikes Weather Page APP

On this Tuesday night, an area of disturbed weather is located over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. It has changed little t...oday, but environmental conditions are gradually forecast to become more conducive for the development of a low pressure system by late this week when the disturbance is expected to be south or southwest of Bermuda. The system is forecast to move generally northward over the weekend and begin interacting with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. Elsewhere, a vigorous tropical wave is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Get the latest on the tropics anytime by visiting the NHC website at www.hurricanes.gov

High Temperatures during the next several days will rise into the lower to middle 90s. This heat combined with moisture in the air will produce heat indices in ...the 100-105 range. These heat index values are in the extreme caution to danger zone. The highest indices are expected from around noon through 5 pm. Take proper precautions if spending time outside! If doing strenuous work outdoors, take frequent breaks and drink enough fluids. See more

Let's keep #GlynnPrepared www.ready.gov/hurricanes

...PRE-SEASON SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN CUBA......FLORIDA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND... NHC has begun advisories on newly formed Subtropical Storm Alberto. It's centered about 195 miles (315 km) southwest of the western tip of Cuba. The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from Tulum to Cabo Catoche. The Government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the western Cuban province of Pinar del Rio.Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast for the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, Alberto is expected to pass near the eastern coast of the Yucatan peninsula tonight, be near the western tip of Cuba Saturday morning, emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday night, and approach the north-central Gulf Coast on Monday. Alberto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches with isolated totals of 25 inches across the northeastern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible across the Florida Keys and southern and southwestern Florida. Heavy rain will likely begin to affect the central Gulf Coast region and the southeastern Untied States later this weekend and continue into early next week. Flooding potential will increase across this region early next week as Alberto is forecast to slow down after it moves inland. The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. EDT. - www.hurricanes.gov